Archive for August, 2010

The outlook for US Dollar have been going down, down and down against the Yen. Is it time for a turn-around soon?

New Economic Slowdown?

After the latest key U.S economic data was released, investors was first seriously concerned about the US economy showing, when July showed 27 % slowdown of previously owned U.S homes. But later, many forex investors insted became worried about the world economy instead and dollar started to rise again against many major currencies.

At the same time, Nikkei 225 rose to a 15-month low, while the Japanese currency become even stronger – 84 yen per USD. Yen is currently at its strongest value against USD this decade. Lets see how things move forward in the end of the week.

Sterling Pound against US Dollar is now in an up-trend after bottoming at 1.4425. How long will it continue? Let us look at the latest currency graph for GBP/USD.

Current intraday support levels are at 1.5589 and 1.5710, while weekly resistance levels are at 1.6460 and 1.70. It’s no secret that many analysts expect Sterling to rise against the dollar. If the US economy continue to show poor statistics, we believe GBP will rise sooner rather then later.

What do you think about the latest strength for GBP? Will it continue or break down?

RBA, The Reserve Bank of Australia, decided on Tuesday to keep the interest rates unchanged for the third month in a row. We continue to see strong numbers for Australian employment and growth, and expect AUD to continue being strong against the USD with many carry traders moving to the pair (USD/AUD).

Strong growth among Australia’s trading partners

Economic data for the June quarter indicate strong growth, around 6 %, for Australia’s major trading partners. China, Japan and Korea had a stronger growth than expected, while the US economy grows less than expected.

Economic conditions in Australia

First, the Australian labour market has continued to show more jobs, while employment increased by over 46 000 jobs in June, growing 3.25 % since (more…)

Norges Bank decided today to keep the key interest rate unchanged at 2 %, as expected by Bloomberg forecasts.

Governor Svein Gjedrem explain why:
“Recent developments in the Norwegian economy have been broadly in line with expectations. Activity is rising moderately. Inflation has slowed and is now below 2 per cent”.

Better global growth

Norges Bank find the global economic growth to be slightly stronger than expected. The outlook for Europe is now a bit better, while the growth of the US economy is more uncertain.

OnlineForex.net find it likely that Norway keep main interest rates unchanged at 2 % for another few months.

After reaching 6 month high last week, pound sterling is now falling to it’s lowest lever in more than a week. Reason: Data signals Britain is not recovering as quick as expected.

Housing market slows down

The first decline in property prices appeared in July, showing a slower sales growth then previous months. Sterling fell to $1.5740 in London afternoon trading hours.

Analysts such as John Hydeskov, Danske Bank, believe Sterling is overbought and should have a correction. He suggest buying Norwegian krone instead..